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Consumers will bear brunt of no-deal Brexit, says BRC-Nielsen



Shop prices fell by -1.6% in September, a steady rate of decline as in August, the latest BRC-Nielsen Shop Price Index has found. Non-food prices fell by -3.2%, compared to a decline of -3.4% in August.

BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson OBE says: “Consumers can celebrate yet another month of falling shop prices, particularly in the non-food ranges such as clothing and footwear. Retailers are cutting prices in order to encourage further spending where sales are yet to pick up. In addition, September saw the lowest rate of fresh food inflation since 2017, which has been mostly driven by the continued availability of fresh, local food produce.

“Retailers strive to provide the best value, quality goods, but their ability to do so, come 2021, is under threat. Without a zero-tariff deal with the EU, supermarkets will be subjected to £3.1b a year of tariffs on food and drink, which they will have little choice but to pass on to their customers as retail margins are so thin. Many non-food retailers will also face large tariff bills, and as a result, the total cost to the industry and its customers would be much higher. The Government must prioritise a tariff-free deal, otherwise hard-pressed consumers will bear the brunt of price increases.”

Mike Watkins, head of retailer and business insight at Nielsen, adds: “The recessionary impact of the pandemic on retailing will become more visible during the ‘golden quarter’, and retailers are already adapting their business models. Food shop price inflation has slowed with supermarkets introducing new price cuts this month. and non-food retailers had the additional challenge of selling through seasonal stock, disrupted by unpredictable weather. Looking ahead we can expect shop price inflation to remain at current low levels for the next quarter.”  



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